Question

Airplanes are by far the safest mode of transportation when the number of transported passengers are measured against personal injuries and fatality totals. Previous records state that the probability of an airplane crash is 0·00001%. Further, there are 95% chances that there will be survivors after a plane crash. Assume that in case of no crash, all travellers survive. Let E₁ be the event that there is a plane crash and E₂ be the event that there is no crash. Let A be the event that passengers survive after the journey. On the basis of the above information, answer the following questions :

The chances of P, Q and R getting selected as CEO of a company are in the ratio 4 : 1 : 2 respectively. The probabilities for the company to increase its profits from the previous year under the new CEO, P, Q or R are 0·3, 0·8 and 0·5 respectively. If the company increased the profits from the previous year, find the probability that it is due to the appointment of R as CEO.

A card from a well shuffled deck of 52 playing cards is lost. From the remaining cards of the pack, a card is drawn at random and is found to be a King. Find the probability of the lost card being a King.

A biased die is twice as likely to show an even number as an odd number. If such a die is thrown twice, find the probability distribution of the number of sixes. Also, find the mean of the distribution.

A departmental store sends bills to charge its customers once a month. Past experience shows that 70% of its customers pay their first month bill in time. The store also found that the customer who pays the bill in time has the probability of 0.8 of paying in time next month and the customer who doesn't pay in time has the probability of 0.4 of paying in time the next month. Based on the above information, answer the following questions :